TUI on track to deliver raised FY25 underlying EBIT growth
- 9/29/2025
- 38 Day
TUI issues the following trading update
before entering its close period ahead of the FY25 results announcement on 10
December.
TUI on track to deliver raised FY25 underlying EBIT
growth announced in August. Positive summer trading momentum in Holiday
Experiences and steady demand in Markets + Airline positions us well to
reaffirm our raised FY25 guidance1 of +9-11% underlying EBIT growth (at constant
currency)
Positive start to Winter 2025/26 underpinned by
resilient consumer spend for leisure experiences, against the background of
broader economic and geopolitical uncertainties provides confidence heading
into FY26
Clear strategy to unlock significant value with
commitment to our mid-term ambitions1 including generating underlying EBIT
growth of c. +7-10% CAGR
TUI signs a strategic alliance agreement with Oman's
OMRAN Group for the joint development of a first cluster of five new hotels in
the Dhofar Governorate. The agreement outlines OMRAN Group becoming a 1.4%
strategic shareholder in TUI, acquiring newly issued TUI sharesat €9.50 per
share
Current Trading– Holiday Experiences
Trading in the segment continues its positive
trajectory, powered by our asset-right growth strategy. Our broader and more
differentiated product range, supported by strong demand, is enabling us to
increase capacity at improved rates whilst maintaining high occupancy levels.
Hotels & Resorts –
The popularity of our well-diversified portfolio of brands and destinations
continues to fuel higher occupancies and rates. For Q4 we have increased our
available bed nights3 by +1%, supported by fewer renovations with the growth of
our portfolio through new hotels leading to a substantial increase in capacity
of +5% for H1 FY26. Boosted by strong demand, booked occupancy4 is up +2%pts in
Q4, driven in particular by the performance of our RIU brand. Occupancy levels
continue to be high for H1 FY26 and broadly in line with H1 FY25. The strength
of our product offering is further emphasised by the average daily rate5 being
up +7% in Q4, an increase of +1%pt. against our August 13 update, and also
rising notably by +6% for H1 FY26 across our hotel brands. Key destinations for
the approaching winter half-year are projected to be the Canaries, Egypt, Cape
Verde as well as the Caribbean.
Cruises –
The strategic expansion of our cruise business through the addition of new
ships for TUI Cruises is advancing according to plan, supported by a strong
trading environment and positive market growth forecast, particularly across
Europe. Following the introduction of Mein Schiff Relax in March 2025, we will
deploy our complete fleet of 18 ships for the upcoming winter period. This new
addition, combined with fewer dry dock days for Hapag-Lloyd Cruises, increases
our available passenger cruise days6 by +14% in Q4 and +13% in H1 FY26.
The appeal of our cruise product proposition in both
the UK and German markets remains strong, underlined by rising occupancy levels
despite the significant capacity increase. Occupancy levels7 are +1%pt. higher
in Q4 and up +7%pts. in H1 FY26, also benefitting from prior year itineraries
being affected by late changes due to the political tensions around the Suez
Canal. At the same time, average daily rate8 is +1% higher in Q4 and level in
H1 FY26, which is noteworthy given the higher mix of TUI Cruises and Marella
ships versus the premium-priced Hapag-Lloyd vessels. For the winter season,
Mein Schiff will offer itineraries to the Canaries, the Caribbean, Central
America, Northern Europe, the Emirates and Asia with its fleet of 8 ships.
Hapag-Lloyd’s 5-vessel programme will focus on Northern Europe, the Baltic Sea,
North & South America, the Caribbean, Africa, Indian Ocean and notably the
semi-circumnavigation of Antarctica. Marella will operate five ships throughout
the Mediterranean and the Caribbean during this period.
TUI Musement – The
expansion of our Tours and Activities business is progressing to plan, focused
on growing our range of experiences available to B2C customers, as well as B2B
clients. We project our experiences business encompassing excursions,
activities, and attraction tickets, to achieve mid-single-digit-percentage
growth in Q4. Our transfers business, providing destination support services to
our guests, is expected to develop in line with our Markets + Airline volume
projections for Q4. While H1 FY26 bookings are still at an early stage, early
indications are promising.
Current Trading – Markets + Airline9Summer
2025 - We have maintained booking levels, and pleasingly,
also ASP levels since our August 13 update. Demand has remained steady even as
we navigate competitive market pressures, multiple summer heatwaves across our
source markets, as well as the impact of the conflict in the Middle East. We
have secured an additional 1.4m bookings during the interim period, bringing
our total bookings across all source markets to 14.1m for the season.
As Summer 2025 comes to a close, overall bookings
remain at -2%, with our ASP continuing to hold up at +3%, helping us to partly
mitigate the elevated cost environment.
Greece, Türkiye, the Balearics and the Canaries are
proving to be the key short- and medium haul destinations, with
Egyptregistering notable growth as a value-conscious holiday option. In our
more smaller long-haul portfolio, Mexico and the Dominican Republic continue to
drive the highest demand, while Thailand, UAE and Zanzibar are experiencing
significant growth as we continue to expand our diversified global offering.
The performance across our main source markets remains
consistent with our previous update. The UK shows positive momentum with
bookings up +1% whilst in Germany, bookings are at -5%reflecting our strategic
focus on protecting margins.
Winter 2025/26 –
The season has continued its positive start, with 1.8m bookings taken to date.
Overall bookingsare +1% higher, demonstrating resilient demand for our leisure
travel products against the background of broader market challenges. ASP
continues to track higher, up +3% overall.As is typical for this point in the
season, trading for the winter is at a relatively early stage with over one
third of customers having booked to date. Short- and medium-haul destinations
form the core of volumes, with the Canaries, Egypt, Mainland Spain and Cape
Verde emerging as the most popular choices. In long-haul, Thailand is
experiencing the highest growth, while Mexico, the Dominican Republic and
Jamaica remain key winter escapes for our customers.
Looking at individual market performance, UK bookings
are broadly in line with Winter 2024/25, whilst in Germany, our other key
market, we are seeing positive momentum with bookings +1% higher.
Guidance – TUI on track to deliver raised
FY25 underlying EBIT growth announced in August1
· FY25
– Trading performance aligns with management expectations since our August 13
update. We remain well-positioned to deliver on our guidance (at constant
currency):
1. Revenue
to increase at the lower end of +5-10% (FY24: €23,167m)
2. Underlying
EBIT to increase by +9-11%, raised from prior guidance of +7-10% (FY24:
€1,296m)
3. Net
debt to improve slightly (FY24: €1,641m)
· Mid-term
ambitions – We have a clear strategy to accelerate profitable growth. We are
focused on creating a business which is more agile, more cost-efficient and
which achieves a higher speed to market with the aim to create additional
shareholder value. We have a clear roadmap to achieve these targets and
reaffirm our mid-term ambitions (at constant currency) as follows:
· Generate
underlying EBIT growth of c. +7-10% CAGR
· Target
net leverage10 strongly below 1.0x
· With
the recent rating agency upgrades, we have achieved our target to return to
pre-pandemic levels







