The global airline industry nearly halved its ​2026 profit forecast on Sunday, citing conflict in the Middle East that has driven up fuel costs, disrupted key air ‌corridors and exposed the fragility of a sector operating on thin margins.

Reuters – The International Air Transport Association, which represents more than 370 airlines accounting for about 85% of global air traffic, said in its annual report that it now expects the industry to post a combined net profit of $23 billion in 2026, well below a previous projection of ​about $41 billion and down from $45 billion in 2025.

The downgrade underscores airlines' exposure to geopolitical shocks and fuel volatility, even as passenger ​demand remains resilient, planes are flying fuller and revenues are set to rise to more than $1.1 trillion.